5 analyses

Military investigators conclude U.S. forces probably caused the Minab school strike that Iran initially blamed on Israel. The finding represents a significant development in the ongoing investigation of civilian casualties.

Military analysts question whether destroying Iran's police apparatus can trigger popular revolt, as Israel threatens to kill any successor to the already-dead Supreme Leader.

The U.S. intercepted an Iranian strike on Turkey but actively prevented Article 5 activation. Analysis reveals how alliance obligations become political calculations when escalation risks spiral beyond control.

While Trump attacked AOC and Newsom's performances, European leaders declared "irreversible damage" to transatlantic relations and called the administration a "wrecking ball."

Israel's shift of West Bank land records from military to civilian control triggered Jordanian warnings of "existential threat." Our analysis reveals the institutional machinery being built—and why it matters.